Another brick in the wall. Immigration and electoral preferences: Direct evidence from state ballotsOlivier Bargain, Victor Stephane, Jérôme Valette
Title : Another brick in the wall. Immigration and electoral preferences: Direct evidence from state ballots
Authors : Olivier Bargain, Victor Stephane, Jérôme Valette
Abstract :
We study the impact of immigration on electoral outcomes at the census tract level in California between 2010 and 2018. Information on actual ballot propositions is used to investigate immigrant-related motives underlying a shift in political preferences. A rise in immigration is associated with a decrease in the support for Democratic candidates and measures. This effect is driven by policies pertaining to redistribution, public good provision, and justice/crime. It is stronger when immigrants are less assimilated and originate from poor and culturally distant countries.
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